McVicker Realty

Kevin McVicker

  • Home
  • Sellers
    • 7 Steps To Make Your House More Attractive
    • Find Out What Your Home Is Worth Now For Free
    • 10 Steps To Sell Your Home
    • Avoid Foreclosure
    • Before You Sell
  • Buyers
    • Rent vs. Own
    • Saving For Your Down Payment
    • What To Know Before You Buy
    • Improving Your Credit Score
  • BLOG
  • Contact
Home » Real Estate BLOG

Consumer Optimism Gains Momentum

February 18, 2015 by Kevin McVicker

Consumers’ Positive Financial Attitudes a Good Sign for Housing

  

Consumer optimism toward the housing market gained some momentum last month following a dip in December, likely getting a boost from their increasingly positive financial outlook, according to results from Fannie Mae's January 2015 National Housing Survey™. The share of respondents who said their household income is significantly higher than it was 12 months ago rose 4 percentage points to 29 percent, and the share expecting their personal financial situation to improve over the next year increased to 48 percent – both all-time survey highs. After dropping in December, the share who said it is a good time to buy a home increased 3 percentage points to 67 percent, and the share saying they would buy rather than rent if they were to move jumped 5 percentage points to 66 percent, marking the first increase since September 2014.

                                                               "Consumers are as positive about their personal finances at the start of 2015 as they have been since we launched the National Housing Survey in 2010, and this optimism seems to be spilling over into housing market attitudes," said Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae.





"Consumers are more optimistic about the environment both for buying and for selling a home today, and the share who plan to own on their next move has jumped back up, reversing a three-month trend toward renting. These results are in line with lender optimism about future growth in their mortgage origination business, as shown in our Mortgage Lender Sentiment Survey™. Overall, these are good signs to start off 2015 and are consistent with our expectation that strengthening employment and economic activity will boost the speed of the housing recovery."

Your Local Source for Real Estate News

Please visit us again for more valuable updates on the current state of the national housing market and how they can affect you as buyers and sellers.

We pride ourselves on offering you relevant and reliable information that will help you make the best real estate decision possible for you and your family!

Share this on:

Filed Under: News

Raleigh Housing Update

January 24, 2015 by Kevin McVicker

Increased Demand For Housing In Raleigh

suebee65/iStock/Thinkstock

This was a big week for housing data, with more signs pointing toward demand building. The key question for the Raleigh housing market will be whether new and existing home supply will follow suit.

At the national level, new construction starts in December were up 4.4%, inching closer to an annualized rate of 1.1 million, which we have not seen since 2007. The increase was driven by single-family, which is a good early sign that homebuilders are gearing production for greater demand in the spring. The December pace of single-family starts was 728,000 units, the highest number since March 2008.

Builders remain positive about the future. The January reading of the NAHB Housing Market Index reported this week reflects that builders are confident about their prospects.

Low mortgage rates spurring applications

Mortgage rates again made the news this week as rates hit new lows for the year. The lower rates are a gift to consumers from the global financial markets. When investors heavily buy U.S. Treasury bonds, the higher prices they pay move interest rates lower. As a result, mortgage application activity rose to its highest level since June 2013.

Consumers should not bank on rates staying low for very much longer, though, as the Federal Reserve is “staying on track to start raising short-term interest rates later this year,” the Wall Street Journal reports. In fact, after European Central Bank actions to support European economies were announced on Thursday, U.S. Treasury bonds have declined in price. That means mortgage rates will soon be on the rise again.

Today’s report on existing home sales from the National Association of REALTORS® affirms that demand has been growing. The annual pace of existing home sales was 5.04 million in December, which was 2.4% higher than November and 3.5% higher than last year.

Supply of homes could be an issue

Supply is quickly becoming the biggest concern for healthy growth in home sales in 2015. According to the NAR’s December data, the inventory declined, representing only a 4.4-month supply at the current sales pace. A six-month supply would be more typical of a market in balance.

The NAR data align well with the listings on realtor.com. Total listings in December declined 7% from November and 6% from last year. Only a few notable markets, such as Pittsburgh, PA, Jacksonville, FL, Tampa, FL, and Virginia Beach, VA, saw inventories build in a healthy way in December.  Raleigh and the Triangle will need to see listing growth over the next several weeks to keep appreciation at healthy, normal levels.

With three years of positive price appreciation behind them, existing-home owners in Raleigh and Charlotte should see conditions as very favorable for trading up.

​

Your Local Source for Real Estate News

Please visit us again for more valuable updates on the current state of the national housing market and how they can affect you as buyers and sellers.

We pride ourselves on offering you relevant and reliable information that will help you make the best real estate decision possible for you and your family!

Share this on:

Filed Under: News

Investors Benefitting From Rental Shortage

December 23, 2014 by Kevin McVicker

midvaleapartmentsmoreguefile

Corporate landlords are benefiting from the worst rental-housing shortage in more than a decade as construction trails demand and more Americans opt to lease rather than buy.

There’s an undersupply of single-family houses and apartments to rent for the first time since 2001, according to an analysis by Frank Nothaft, chief economist at mortgage buyer Freddie Mac, based on available inventory and historic vacancy rates. The deficit in the third quarter was about 350,000, the most in records dating back 14 years.

The shortage is giving the upper hand to institutional investors who spent more than $25 billion since 2012 buying single-family homes to rent. While the market for apartments has been in favor of landlords for five years, owners of houses are now able to increase rents and reduce turnover to boost profits.

“It’s that supply-demand equation that allows us to get aggressive about raising rents,” Stephen Schmitz, chief executive officer of American Residential Properties Inc., a landlord with more than 8,500 homes, said at an investor conference this month. “Three years ago, you would go to raise somebody’s rent and they could say, ‘I’ll go down the street and pay $100 less than I’m paying you now.’ But today they can’t because all those houses down the street are occupied.”

The U.S. rental-vacancy rate fell to 7.4% in the third quarter, according to Census Bureau data. The market is considered balanced, with neither landlords nor tenants having the upper hand when it comes to rents, at a vacancy rate of 8.2%, based on the average from 1994 through 2003, according to Freddie Mac’s Nothaft.

The housing surplus peaked at almost 2 million units, including 1.2 million rentals, in the third quarter of 2009, when foreclosures were soaring and years of speculative construction led to a glut of empty houses.

“The surplus of vacant housing has shrunk over the last few years because there has been household growth and limited new construction,” Nothaft said in a telephone interview. “In most markets and in the national data, what we’ve observed is that rents have been rising faster than inflation.”

Rents on all single-family homes and multifamily units are expected to climb 3.5% next year, compared with a 2.5% increase for home purchase prices, according to estimates this month by Zillow Inc. Chief Economist Stan Humphries. The U.S. inflation rate was 1.3% in November, with a goal of 2% set by the Federal Reserve.

Wall Street-backed landlords already are enjoying higher rents for single-family homes in markets hit hardest by the housing crash, where they first started buying in bulk.

The average monthly rent for a three-bedroom home in Phoenix surged more than 9% this year to $1,158, data from Westminster, Colo.-based RentRange LLC show. Houses now lease about 10 days faster than apartments, according to a report from the Center for Real Estate Theory and Practice at Arizona State University.

In Las Vegas, rents on houses rose more than 3% to a median of $1,248 in the 12 months through November, according to RentRange. In Orlando, Fla., they climbed 5% the same month to $1,294.

A reviving job market is driving household formation and fueling demand for homes faster than builders are delivering them. In the Orlando area, for example, 56,000 jobs were added in the 12 months through October, benefiting landlords such as Aaron Edelheit, chief executive officer of Atlanta-based American Home, a rental company with 2,500 houses, including about 200 in central Florida.

“They’re not producing many entry-level homes,” he said in a telephone interview. “That’s what creates housing shortages, and it’s going to drive up the price of rents.”

Raising rents is likely to become a higher priority for institutional single-family landlords next year as they get a better grip on operations and how higher rates affect their pace of leasing, said Anthony Paolone, an analyst with JPMorgan Chase & Co. who follows real estate investment trusts including American Homes 4 Rent and Silver Bay Realty Trust Corp.

Investors have positioned themselves to house some of the former owners of 5 million homes lost to foreclosure since the real estate crash, according to research company CoreLogic Inc. Many of those former owners prefer houses over apartments because they want more space for their children and pets. Landlords also are getting a boost from some of the 75 million millennials — 18-to-34-year-olds — who are starting out as renters rather than buyers.

The typical family renting a house from American Homes 4 Rent, an Agoura Hills, California-based REIT with more than 30,000 single-family homes, is in their mid-thirties with an annual income of $80,400, enough to afford to buy if they wanted to, according to CEO David Singelyn.

“Many of these kids saw their parents lose their home, and they’re a little bit disillusioned,” Singelyn said at the Information Management Network Single Family Rental Investment Forum in Scottsdale, Ariz., earlier this month. “How long will that last? I don’t know. But today there’s a significant movement to becoming a renter nation as opposed to an owner nation.”

Those tenants often pay a premium to rent from new firms like American Homes 4 Rent, which mostly owns houses less than 12 years old near good schools and provides better service than mom-and-pop landlords, Singelyn said. They also move less often, with 68% of tenants opting to stay in the most recent quarter when their lease came up for renewal, compared with less than 50% for apartments, he said.

Blackstone Group LP’s Invitation Homes, the largest single-family landlord, with more than 46,000 properties, as of Sept. 30 raised rents an average of 1.8% to $1,474 from a year earlier on 3,200 homes that were financed through the industry’s first mortgage-backed security deal, according to Kroll Bond Rating Agency.

“We’ve seen strong demand for our homes in all 14 markets we operate,” said Denise Dunckel, a spokeswoman for Dallas-based Invitation Homes. “That’s just an indication that there’s a large market that likes the flexibility that renting provides.”

American Homes 4 Rent raised rents 3% on renewals and 4% for new tenants in the third quarter, Singelyn said during a Nov. 3 conference call. American Residential Properties increased rents an average of 3.4% from a year earlier on renewals, while Silver Bay’s rents rose 3% on renewals.

Share this on:

Filed Under: News

Doctor Loan Program

October 30, 2014 by Kevin McVicker

This doctor loan program is designed to meet your unique financing needs. Home buyers who are medical professionals that are licensed, practicing doctors, including dentist and other eligible medical professionals may be eligible for this special program. This home loan program option offers significant advantages, including:

    As little as 5% down payment on loan amounts up to $850,000
    Employment start dates uo to 60 days after closing
    Student loan debt is not included in total debt calculation
    A range of fixed and adjustable rate loans

As a professonal Realtor, I’m dedicated to giving you expert advise and guidance that will lead to a sucessful home purchase. To find out if this loan program is a good fit for your situation, please contact me for a detailed consultation.

Share this on:

Filed Under: News

Raleigh #1 For Business and Careers

August 15, 2014 by Kevin McVicker

0x600

The U.S. economic recovery has been an uneven one. Overall, the recent numbers look great. The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced U.S. employers added 288,000 jobs in June. The unemployment rate fell to 6.1%, the lowest it has been since the financial crisis peaked in the fall of 2008. A total of 1.4 million jobs were added in the past six months, which marks the best showing since 2006. The stock market has continued its meteoric rise, with the Dow Jones topping 17,000 for the first time on the news.

But the news is not great everywhere. Unemployment remains stubbornly high in some areas, with a dozen metro areas still mired in double-digit unemployment — dozens more if you include the underemployed. Income growth has been almost nonexistent over the past five years, with more than half of the metropolitan areas in the U.S. showing negative real income growth.

Forbes crunched the numbers on every metro area to figure who has the best and worst business climates. The result is our 16th annual look at the Best Places for Business and Careers.

Raleigh, N.C., ranks first this year, moving up from third in 2013. The North Carolina capital previously ranked first in 2011 and had a three-year run in the top spot from 2007 to 2009. It is the only East Coast city that made the top 10.

Fueling Raleigh’s consistent results are business costs that are 18% below the national average, and an adult population where 42% have a college degree, the 12th best rate in the U.S. (30% is the national average). Raleigh is home to North Carolina State University and nearby schools include Duke University and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. The area’s appeal has led to a strong inflow of new residents to the city, which boasts the sixth fastest net migration rate over the past five years.

Research Triangle Park continues to fuel significant development in the area. The park is located at the core of the Raleigh-Durham-Cary Combined Statistical Area, and it is the largest research park in the country. It features roughly 170 companies that employ 39,000 full-time, mostly high-tech workers. There have been 1,800 start-up companies created at RTP since 1970.

Networking giant Cisco Systems CSCO -2.65% announced plans last month to add 550 jobs in RTP by the end of 2017, in addition to the 4,600 already in the area. “By expanding our presence and hiring the best talent, we will continue developing technology solutions that will enable the Internet of Everything and fuel innovation here in RTP,” said Cisco President Gary Moore in a statement announcing the news. Other top employers in the park include IBM IBM -0.04%, GlaxoSmithKline GlaxoSmithKline, Fidelity Investments Fidelity Investments, Biogen Idec BIIB +0.73%, Credit Suisse and BASF BASF.

Raleigh also prospers from small businesses facing low regulatory hurdles compared to other cities. Projected annual job growth for the Raleigh area is 3.7% through 2016, which ranks seventh best among the 200 biggest metro areas (see “Naples, Austin Head List Of Best Cities For Job Growth”).

Last year’s top-ranked city, Des Moines, drops back to second. The Iowa capital is a financial services hub with major employers including Marsh, Nationwide, Principal Financial and Wells Fargo WFC +0.78%. High tech firms have also been making their way to the heartland to take advantage of Iowa’s low energy costs. Microsoft MSFT +0.42% announced plans in April to invest $1.1 billion in a new data center, which brings the company’s total investment in West Des Moines to nearly $2 billion. Facebook has four data centers in the area.

Des Moines employers and employees can take advantage of business costs 17% below the U.S. average and living costs that are 6% lower than the national average. The city’s $38 billion economy is projected to grow at a robust 4% annual rate over the next three years, according to Moody’s Analytics.

Provo, Utah, ranks third overall this year and leads a trio of Utah places near the top with Salt Lake City at No. 8 and Ogden ranked No. 11. Brigham Young University brings a stabilizing presence to the $19 billion Provo economy. Job growth for Provo was tops in the country last year, and it ranks seventh best over the past five years. Global multilevel marketing firm Nu Skin Enterprises, which is based in Provo, opened a new $100 million headquarters in the city in October.

Rounding out the top five are a pair of Colorado metro areas: Denver and Fort Collins. Both feature highly educated workforces and strong net migration patterns. Denver’s business and living costs are higher than any other city in the top five, but its diverse economy and significant outdoor recreational options continue to attract educated, young professionals. Many high-tech companies including Hewlett-Packard HPQ +0.82%, Intel INTC -0.44% and AMD have relocated operations to Fort Collins in part to take advantage of the resources of Colorado State University and its research facilities. Fort Collins has the highest level of high school attainment (95% of the adult population) and ranks ninth best for college attainment at 45%.

To gauge the best places for business in the U.S., we rate the 200 largest metro areas on a dozen factors related to jobs, costs (business and living), income growth, quality of life and education of the labor force. Forbes uses data from economic research firm Moody’s Analytics, the U.S. Census and demographer Bert Sperling, who runs Sperling’s BestPlaces (click here for a more detailed methodology).

Atlantic City brings up the rear for the second straight year, ranking No. 200 (see “Atlantic City Heads Worst Cities For Business And Careers”). The New Jersey gambling and convention destination was hammered by the economic downturn and increasing gambling options in surrounding states. AC gaming revenues are down 45% since their 2006 peak. Potentially four of the city’s 12 casinos will close in 2014. There has been a steady net migration out of the area since 2007 and it is expected to continue through at least 2016.

Share this on:

Filed Under: News

Raleigh Tops Forbes List

January 16, 2012 by Kevin McVicker

Forbes 13th Annual List: The Best Places For Business and Careers
The recession spared few U.S. cities, wiping out 9.4 million jobs between November 2007 and August 2009. Many will never return, and those that do you probably won’t find on the East or West Coast. For the most active areas of job creation (and lower costs of doing business) you have to go to the heartland, home to 80% of the top 25 regions on our list of Best Places for Business.
In most of these hot hubs you’ll find a strong university or two, providing rich cultural life and the kind of technology transfer that sparks entrepreneurial activity—giving that educated population lots of reasons to stick around.
Topping our 13th annual list of the Best Places for Business and Careers is Raleigh, N.C. It is one of those locales with a strong university presence helping fuel growth in the area (albeit in an East Coast state, a rarity in the upper part of the list). Raleigh and nearby Durham (ranked No. 31) get a strong boost from three elite schools in the surrounding area in University of North Carolina, Duke University and North Carolina State.
Raleigh ranks No. 1 after dipping to third last year. Low business costs (18% below the national average) and a smart labor force (42% have a college degree) make North Carolina’s capital an attractive spot for employers like First Citizens Bank and Progress Energy. Job seekers get it: The net migration rate to Raleigh was the second highest in the U.S. over the past five years.

Our look at America’s Best Places for Business showcases the stark contrast between Texas—with its low-cost, pro-business regulatory environment (5 cities among the top 25, led by Austin at No. 7)—and overregulated and wildly expensive California (home to 8 cities that rank in the bottom 25, including No. 200 Merced). Texas was one of the last economies to succumb to the recession and one of the first to bounce back, while California is limping along with an unemployment rate of 11.7% (only Nevada’s is worse).
Besides Austin, Texas also placed San Antonio and Dallas in the top 10. San Antonio, ranked No. 8, is among the fastest-growing metro areas in the U.S. (the population increased 25% since 2000). It has been buoyed by defense spending and hiring at Toyota Motor’s truck assembly plant. Dallas (No. 10) has been one of the most resilient economies during the recession and could add 190,000 jobs in the next three years.
It’s not all bad in the Golden State. Aside from nice weather, California does have bright spots in San Jose (No. 35) and San Francisco (No. 37), both of which made the top 40 thanks to a rich arsenal of educated and talented workers.
Demographer Bert Sperling argues that much of the recent success of the heartland can be attributed to “extractive industries” like oil, gas and mining as well as record-high crop prices that have provided jobs and revenue to the center of the U.S. “These economies run in cycles, and these booms and busts are often decades in the making,” he says.
Our ranking of Best Places looks at the 200 largest metropolitan statistical areas in the U.S. These range in size from the New York City metro, with to 11.6 million people, to Laredo, Texas, home to 252,000 people (click here for a list of the Best Small Places for Business). We consider 12 metrics relating to job growth (past and projected), costs (business and living), income growth, educational attainment and projected economic growth.
We also factor in quality of life issues like crime rates, cultural and recreational opportunities and net migration patterns. Lastly we included the number of highly ranked colleges in an area per our annual college rankings. A tip of the cap to Moody’s Economy.com, which provided much of the data, including the economic forecasts. Bert Sperling, founder of Sperling’s BestPlaces, put together a culture and leisure index for Forbes and also crunched the crime numbers for us. College attainment data is compiled by the Census Bureau.
Des Moines, Iowa, last year’s No. 1 dropped one spot as employment fell 0.9% in 2010. The area still has plenty to offer with business costs 16% below the national average and household incomes that are expected to increase 4.2% annually through 2013, eighth best in the U.S. Workers at big employers like Principal Financial and Wells Fargo enjoy cheap housing (median price $148,600) and 20-minute average commutes.
Another big metro that made the top 10, in addition to the three Texas locales, is Denver, which ranks No. 9. U.S. economic growth has been tepid since the recession ended, but Denver’s economy grew 3.9% last year and is expected to grow 3.9% annually through 2013 according to Economy.com. Denver’s great quality of life and educated workforce make it a favorite with companies in industries from aerospace and bioscience to energy, financial services and information technology. Major employers include IBM, Lockheed Martin and Wells Fargo.
A big mover in the rankings this year is the New York metro, which ranked No. 45, up from No. 99 in 2010. Yes it is still the most expensive place to do business in the U.S. at 51% above the national average, but the job and economic forecasts are much improved for the area. The economy is forecast to expand 4.5% per year and household income are expected to increase 4.1% annually the next three years, 12th best in the U.S.
New York also scores well on quality-of-life issues. It ranks first on Sperling’s index among cities for culture and recreation, and its crime rate is 11th-lowest in the country. The biggest draw might be its talented, educated work force with 36% having a college degree–only Washington, D.C. is higher among the 10 largest metros. The concentration of big firms is unmatched as well. It is the corporate home for 80 public companies with more than $1 billion in sales.

Share this on:

Filed Under: News

  • « Previous Page
  • 1
  • …
  • 7
  • 8
  • 9
  • 10
  • Next Page »

My Listing

Click Here To Get Your Home Value

Recent Posts

  • Tax Season 2025
  • 2015 Tennessee Road
  • CRASH 2023 NOT LIKELY
  • Inflation 2022
  • Managing Your Portfolio
  • House Preparation This Fall
  • Todays Housing Market
  • Selling Your House? Your Asking Price Matters More Now Than Ever
  • Not A Real Estate Bubble
  • Investors are buying 1 in 4 homes in Raleigh, 1 in 5 in Durham

Newsletter Signup Form

Subscribe to our monthly newsletter, stay informed on local triangle area real estate news. To receive the monthly newsletter, please fill out the form below!

Contact Me

    Name (required)

    Email (required)

    Phone

    Subject

    Your Message

    Or Call (919) 369-4926

    Kevin McVicker

    Kevin McVicker is a real estate broker residing in Durham, North Carolina. He has been licensed since 1994 and serves the Research Triangle region, as well as the Charlotte region. He specializes in residential brokerage for local home buyers and real estate investors.

    Contact McVicker Realty

      Name (required)

      Email (required)

      Phone

      Subject

      Your Message

      Or Call (919) 369-4926

      This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

      The information on this page is aggregated from third-party sources and presented as-is for your convenience. It has not been verified or approved by McVicker Realty. McVicker Realty does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of information or assume any liability for its use. McVicker Realty is not affiliated with the builder, developer, or HOA of any communities displayed on this website.

      © Copyright 2012-2020 kevinmcvicker.com · All Rights Reserved · Powered by McVicker Realty